Summary
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The analyst predicts the Switch 2 will sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year.
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The analyst believes the Switch 2 will be strong, but the PS5 could end up being the top selling console in the US.
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The Nintendo Switch 2 is highly hyped, but success may depend on the timing of the launch, the quality of the hardware, and the competitiveness of the game lineup.
Game analyst Matt Piscatello shares predictions that Nintendo Switch 2 approximately 4.3 million units will be sold in 2025. By the end of 2017, the original Nintendo Switch had sold 4.8 million units, surpassing the company's expectations at the time. To meet the high demand, Nintendo shipped copies of the Switch. Fans are hoping that this time around, Nintendo anticipated such issues and planned accordingly.
Many gamers are waiting for Nintendo's next system to be announced. The Switch 2 is usually trending on social media, often because people are just waiting for it to be announced, but that hype may not translate into sales. There are many factors that could decide how the Switch 2 will perform in 2025, given that it will be launched within a year. The key factors seem to be timing as well as the console's list of games.
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Circana video game analyst Matt Piscatello shared that he expects the Nintendo Switch to sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year. Many expect the Nintendo Switch 2 to launch in April 2025, just in time for summer, allowing for a boost in sales during Japan's Golden Week holiday period and general seasonal celebrations around the world.
The analyst predicts 4.3 million Switch 2 sales in 2025
Seeing as the announcement seems to be coming soon (but who knows) – I have Nintendo's next hardware device selling 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming it launches in 1 semi-annually), which is roughly 1/3 of all video game console hardware units sold per year (excluding handheld PCs). — Matt Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z
Piscatello expands on those predictions, noting that in the United States he believes the Switch 2 will account for 1/3 of all video game hardware sales, excluding portable PCs like the Steam Deck or ROG Ally. In general. He notes the expectation of supply constraints for the Switch 2 hardware after huge initial demand, though he doesn't know the manufacturing resources Nintendo has committed to the system. It's possible that Nintendo has been hoarding Switch 2 resources to prevent a product shortage that matches the release of the original Switch or PS5.
While Matt Piscatello believes that the Switch 2 will sell well, he predicts that the PlayStation 5 will be able to top the game console hardware sales in the US. There's a lot of hype surrounding the Nintendo Switch 2, which could help sales. However, in addition to the other highly anticipated titles coming to PS5 this year, Grand Theft Auto 6 currently slated for a 2025 release, it could be a huge system seller that could overtake Nintendo's systems. Still, there's a lot of hype surrounding the Switch 2, and depending on how impressive the Switch 2's hardware is along with its launch lineup, it could lead the pack.
Nintendo Switch
The Nintendo Switch is a hybrid console released in 2017 that can be played handheld or connected to a TV. The portable-only Switch Lite model arrived in 2019, with an OLED update in 2021.
